Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.39
+14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
162 · 60% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Kostroma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
2-1
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma edged past Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartak Kostroma as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 46% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 54%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 41%, draw 28%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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