Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 Spartak Kostroma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
45%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+8.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.17/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-0
AWAY Spartak Kostroma
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Spartak Kostroma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk edged past Spartak Kostroma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Kostroma at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 52% of the ball to Spartak Kostroma's 48%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Spartak Kostroma?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 Spartak Kostroma in the Russia - FNL on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Spartak Kostroma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 29%, draw 27%, Spartak Kostroma 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
19 Oct 2025
12:00 Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula Analysis →
17:00 KAMAZ vs FK Rodina Moskva Analysis →