Chelyabinsk 2-2 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelyabinsk
2-2
AWAY Arsenal Tula
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelyabinsk and Arsenal Tula shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelyabinsk had 49% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 51%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula?

Chelyabinsk 2-2 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelyabinsk vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelyabinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chelyabinsk 40%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelyabinsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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