Megrine 1-1 Kerkennah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Megrine EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerkennah EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.33
+15% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Megrine
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kerkennah
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2025 Kerkennah Kerkennah 2-3 HT 0-3 Megrine TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Megrine
1-1
AWAY Kerkennah
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Megrine vs Kerkennah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Megrine and Kerkennah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Megrine at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Megrine had 44% of the ball to Kerkennah's 56%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Megrine vs Kerkennah?

Megrine 1-1 Kerkennah in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Megrine vs Kerkennah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Megrine win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Megrine 50%, draw 29%, Kerkennah 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Megrine), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Megrine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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