Sfax Railways 0-2 Sporting Ben Arous — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-10.1pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.70/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.19
+12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sfax Railways
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2025 Sporting Ben Arous Sporting Ben Arous 0-0 HT 0-0 Sfax Railways TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sfax Railways
0-2
AWAY Sporting Ben Arous
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sfax Railways vs Sporting Ben Arous
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Ben Arous got the better of Sfax Railways 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sfax Railways at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Sfax Railways had 65% of the ball to Sporting Ben Arous's 35%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Sfax Railways vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Sfax Railways 0-2 Sporting Ben Arous in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sfax Railways vs Sporting Ben Arous?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sfax Railways win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sfax Railways 57%, draw 28%, Sporting Ben Arous 15%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sfax Railways) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sfax Railways) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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