Academia Anzoátegui 2-3 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Anzoátegui EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.12/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.26
-44% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
15.3 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Anzoátegui
0W-4D-2L
AWAY UCV
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.41 xG 1.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
220 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2025 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-1 Academia Anzoátegui VENK
20.08.2025 Academia Anzoátegui 2-4 HT 1-2 UCV UCV VENK
07.07.2025 Academia Anzoátegui 0-2 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
09.06.2025 UCV UCV 2-2 HT 1-1 Academia Anzoátegui VEN
04.05.2025 Academia Anzoátegui 4-4 HT 3-0 UCV UCV VEN
26.01.2025 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-1 Academia Anzoátegui VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Anzoátegui
2-3
AWAY UCV
1.44 xG 2.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
304 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Academia Anzoátegui vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV nicked a narrow win over Academia Anzoátegui 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Academia Anzoátegui had 53% of the ball to UCV's 47%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 1.44 to 2.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold UCV's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Academia Anzoátegui and 2.33 for UCV.

What was the final score of Academia Anzoátegui vs UCV?

Academia Anzoátegui 2-3 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Anzoátegui vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Academia Anzoátegui 30%, draw 25%, UCV 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5
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