Caracas FC 1-0 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.09/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.39
-29% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.6 Crosses 18.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
333 Passes 230
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
27.10.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-3 HT 0-3 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
14.07.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-3 HT 2-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
04.02.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.10.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.04.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-0
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.49 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
271 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC edged past Metropolitanos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caracas FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Caracas FC had 49% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 51%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.49 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Caracas FC and 1.00 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos?

Caracas FC 1-0 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 42%, draw 28%, Metropolitanos 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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