Metropolitanos 2-3 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.06/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.26
+12% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
253 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.7 Crosses 15.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Caracas FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
232 Passes 246
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.02.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.10.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.04.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
20.08.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
20.03.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
04.09.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
2-3
AWAY Caracas FC
0.89 xG 0.94
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
274 Passes 432
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC squeezed past Metropolitanos 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Caracas FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 41% of the ball to Caracas FC's 59%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.33 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Caracas FC?

Metropolitanos 2-3 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 37%, draw 27%, Caracas FC 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Metropolitanos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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