Caracas FC 1-0 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 4 Feb 2025

Caracas FC
1-0 HT 1-0
Metropolitanos
📅04/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2025

Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caracas FC v Metropolitanos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.42/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.49
-6% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.3 Crosses 18.6
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 212
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
07.04.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
20.08.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-2 HT 0-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
20.03.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
04.09.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
20.03.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 3-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN

Caracas FC 1-0 Metropolitanos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-0
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.32 xG 1.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
229 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 34
6 Crosses 42
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC nicked a narrow win over Metropolitanos 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Caracas FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Caracas FC had 41% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 59%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 1.32 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caracas FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caracas FC and 1.17 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos?

Caracas FC 1-0 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 36%, draw 32%, Metropolitanos 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caracas FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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