Metropolitan 2-1 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitan
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.06.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-1 Metropolitan VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitan
2-1
AWAY Caracas FC
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Metropolitan vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitan nicked a narrow win over Caracas FC 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Metropolitan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Metropolitan had 45% of the ball to Caracas FC's 55%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Metropolitan vs Caracas FC?

Metropolitan 2-1 Caracas FC in the VENK on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitan vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Metropolitan 33%, draw 28%, Caracas FC 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caracas FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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