Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 El Vigia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY El Vigia EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1W-0D-0L
AWAY El Vigia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.06.2024 El Vigia El Vigia 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VENK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
2-1
AWAY El Vigia
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs El Vigia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez squeezed past El Vigia 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hermanos Colmenarez as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 56% of the ball to El Vigia's 44%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs El Vigia?

Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 El Vigia in the VENK on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs El Vigia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermanos Colmenarez win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 49%, draw 30%, El Vigia 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hermanos Colmenarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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