Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Tachira v Monagas — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo Tachira
VEN
1-0
HT 0-0
Monagas
VEN
3-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Tachira
VEN
Deportivo Tachira 2-1 Monagas — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Tachira nicked a narrow win over Monagas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 53% of the ball to Monagas's 47%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 3.01 to 1.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Deportivo Tachira's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.83 for Monagas.
What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?
Deportivo Tachira 2-1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 55%, draw 25%, Monagas 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.