Monagas 1-4 Deportivo Tachira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.79/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.78
-13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
20.0 Crosses 18.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.54 xG 0.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
21.03.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
25.09.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
19.02.2023 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
19.06.2022 Monagas Monagas 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
29.05.2022 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 4-2 HT 1-2 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
1-4
AWAY Deportivo Tachira
2.00 xG 1.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
320 Passes 362
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira ran out comfortable winners over Monagas 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Tachira found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monagas had 48% of the ball to Deportivo Tachira's 52%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.00 to 1.43 — on chances, Monagas could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Monagas and 1.33 for Deportivo Tachira.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira?

Monagas 1-4 Deportivo Tachira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Deportivo Tachira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monagas 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Tachira 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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