Brackley Town 1-2 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 35% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +12%
1.41/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.34
-8% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Boston United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Boston United Boston United 1-2 HT 1-2 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
02.12.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
21.02.2023 Boston United Boston United 1-0 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
25.10.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
18.04.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
28.12.2021 Boston United Boston United 1-3 HT 0-2 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
1-2
AWAY Boston United
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United edged past Brackley Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brackley Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brackley Town had 50% of the ball to Boston United's 50%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brackley Town and 0.83 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Boston United?

Brackley Town 1-2 Boston United in the England - Conference on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 46%, draw 29%, Boston United 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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