Boston United 1-2 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.66/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.08
+17% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Brackley Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
21.02.2023 Boston United Boston United 1-0 HT 1-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
25.10.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
18.04.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
28.12.2021 Boston United Boston United 1-3 HT 0-2 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
27.11.2021 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Boston United Boston United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston United
1-2
AWAY Brackley Town
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town edged past Boston United 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Boston United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston United had 62% of the ball to Brackley Town's 38%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boston United and 1.17 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Brackley Town?

Boston United 1-2 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Boston United 42%, draw 28%, Brackley Town 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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