Yeovil 1-3 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

Yeovil
1-3 HT 0-2
Worthing
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Yeovil vs Worthing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yeovil v Worthing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 29%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.32/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.02
+39% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Yeovil vs Worthing Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Worthing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Worthing Worthing 1-2 HT 0-1 Yeovil Yeovil İCON
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing beat Yeovil 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Worthing found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Worthing?

Yeovil 1-3 Worthing in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 39%, draw 27%, Worthing 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yeovil) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeovil) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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