Farnborough 0-1 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.32/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.51
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United squeezed past Farnborough 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Maidstone United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Maidstone United?

Farnborough 0-1 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 37%, draw 28%, Maidstone United 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Farnborough), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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