IF Karlstad 0-1 Friska Viljor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
76%
-19.3pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.5pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Friska Viljor FC EU Bookmakers 12%
-24% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.98/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/3.99
-21% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -40%
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
0-1
AWAY Friska Viljor FC
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Friska Viljor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Friska Viljor FC edged past IF Karlstad 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. IF Karlstad carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 64% of the ball to Friska Viljor FC's 36%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Friska Viljor FC?

IF Karlstad 0-1 Friska Viljor FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Friska Viljor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 56%, draw 22%, Friska Viljor FC 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (IF Karlstad), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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