Pitea IF 1-5 United Nordic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY United Nordic EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.58/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.49
+32% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pitea IF
0W-1D-1L
AWAY United Nordic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.09.2023 United Nordic United Nordic 1-1 HT 0-1 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
23.04.2023 Pitea IF Pitea IF 0-1 HT 0-0 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pitea IF
1-5
AWAY United Nordic
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pitea IF vs United Nordic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United Nordic swept aside Pitea IF 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had United Nordic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pitea IF had 45% of the ball to United Nordic's 55%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, United Nordic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pitea IF and 1.00 for United Nordic.

What was the final score of Pitea IF vs United Nordic?

Pitea IF 1-5 United Nordic in the Sweden - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pitea IF vs United Nordic?

Before kick-off our model rated an United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pitea IF 32%, draw 23%, United Nordic 45%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (United Nordic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (United Nordic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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