Mirandes 0-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.13
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.09
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
8%
6.2
X/2
12%
4.5
X/X
15%
3.8
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.26
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.25/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.03
+31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.4 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valladolid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.65 xG 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 3-2 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
29.07.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid HAZ
24.04.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 0-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
06.11.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
21.05.2017 Mirandes Mirandes 2-2 HT 0-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
11.12.2016 Valladolid Valladolid 5-0 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
0-1
AWAY Valladolid
0.78 xG 0.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
290 Passes 388
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid squeezed past Mirandes 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Valladolid made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Mirandes had 46% of the ball to Valladolid's 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.78 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mirandes and 2.33 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Valladolid?

Mirandes 0-1 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 31%, draw 30%, Valladolid 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valladolid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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