Racing Santander 3-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

Racing Santander
3-1 HT 1-0
Elche
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Racing Santander vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.81
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
12%
5.64
X/2
12%
5.59
X/X
15%
4.33
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.76
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Santander v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.45/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
+30% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
252 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
14.9 Crosses 22.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Racing Santander vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Elche
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
273 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
04.07.2020 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
01.12.2019 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
31.03.2013 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
28.10.2012 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
04.05.2002 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2

Racing Santander 3-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
3-1
AWAY Elche
2.23 xG 1.81
30% Ball Possession 70%
15 Total Shots 27
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
159 Passes 468
67% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 48
7 Crosses 47
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander beat Elche 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Racing Santander found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Santander had 30% of the ball to Elche's 70%, shots finished 15-27, expected goals 2.23 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elche led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Racing Santander and 1.00 for Elche.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Elche?

Racing Santander 3-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 39%, draw 28%, Elche 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
4 May 2024
15:00 Mirandes vs Valladolid Analysis →
17:15 Huesca vs Real Oviedo Analysis →
22:00 Cartagena vs Alcorcon Analysis →