Monza 2-2 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 May 2024

Monza
2-2 HT 0-1
Lazio
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Monza vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.86
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
9%
8.52
X/2
14%
3.96
X/X
13%
4.71
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.38
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Lazio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.09/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.02
-20% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
16.1 Crosses 18.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Monza vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lazio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
512 Passes 435
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Lazio Lazio 1-1 HT 1-1 Monza Monza İTA
02.04.2023 Monza Monza 0-2 HT 0-1 Lazio Lazio İTA
10.11.2022 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA

Monza 2-2 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
2-2
AWAY Lazio
1.74 xG 1.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
504 Passes 334
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Monza vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza and Lazio shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lazio at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Monza had 59% of the ball to Lazio's 41%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.74 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Monza and 1.33 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Monza vs Lazio?

Monza 2-2 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monza 28%, draw 27%, Lazio 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lazio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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