Sassuolo 1-0 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 May 2024

Sassuolo
1-0 HT 1-0
Inter
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Sassuolo vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.57
1/2 EV+ ✗
19%
20.3
1/X
7%
16.4
X/1
8%
12.05
X/2
14%
3.91
X/X
9%
6.58
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.84
2/X
6%
15.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.3 — our 19% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sassuolo v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 66%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.07/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.89
+26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
14.5 Crosses 23.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sassuolo vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Inter
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
385 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2023 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
13.05.2023 Inter Inter 4-2 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
29.12.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter HAZ
08.10.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
20.02.2022 Inter Inter 0-2 HT 0-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
02.10.2021 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA

Sassuolo 1-0 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
1-0
AWAY Inter
0.30 xG 1.08
24% Ball Possession 76%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
161 Passes 657
70% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo squeezed past Inter 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Inter carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sassuolo had 24% of the ball to Inter's 76%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.30 to 1.08 — on chances, Inter could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sassuolo and 1.67 for Inter.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Inter?

Sassuolo 1-0 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 22%, draw 22%, Inter 56%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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4 May 2024
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