Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Tenerife (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.47
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
33%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
64%
-30.8pp
33%
Draw
21%
+12.4pp
33%
Away Win
15%
+18.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
3.65/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.75
-41% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
31.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1-0
AWAY Tenerife (K)
1.29 xG 0.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
395 Passes 198
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Tenerife (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) squeezed past Tenerife (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 63% of the ball to Tenerife (K)'s 37%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.29 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Tenerife (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Tenerife (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Tenerife (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Tenerife (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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