Kapaz 1-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 4 May 2024

Kapaz
1-1
Sumqayıt
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Kapaz vs Sumqayıt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.78
Over 2.5
57%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.81
No
35%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
51%
+14.1pp
35%
BTTS No
49%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapaz v Sumqayıt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 50%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.57/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.78
+40% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -34%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.5

Kapaz vs Sumqayıt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sumqayıt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-3 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
14.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
08.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
29.04.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
25.02.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-2 HT 0-2 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
04.12.2022 Kapaz Kapaz 0-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz and Sumqayıt shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sumqayıt at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (65%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kapaz and 1.00 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

Kapaz 1-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 26%, draw 29%, Sumqayıt 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sumqayıt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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