Slutsk 1-0 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
50%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slutsk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.43/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.70
+29% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slutsk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2023 Slutsk Slutsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
19.05.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-0 HT 1-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
12.03.2023 Slutsk Slutsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLRK
05.03.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 2-0 HT 0-0 Slutsk Slutsk BLRK
09.09.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-1 Slutsk Slutsk BLR
30.04.2022 Slutsk Slutsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slutsk
1-0
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slutsk vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slutsk nicked a narrow win over Slavia Mozyr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Mozyr at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Slutsk had 42% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 58%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slutsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Slutsk and 0.67 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Slutsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Slutsk 1-0 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slutsk vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Slutsk 25%, draw 26%, Slavia Mozyr 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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