Borac Banja Luka 3-1 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.16
Draw
24%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
82%
-21.0pp
24%
Draw
10%
+13.5pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.7pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.19/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.17
-4% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
447 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borac Banja Luka
2W-0D-0L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 3-0 HT 1-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
08.10.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 0-3 HT 0-2 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borac Banja Luka
3-1
AWAY GOSK Gabela
77% Ball Possession 23%
21 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Borac Banja Luka vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borac Banja Luka saw off GOSK Gabela 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Borac Banja Luka as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Borac Banja Luka had 77% of the ball to GOSK Gabela's 23%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Borac Banja Luka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Borac Banja Luka and 0.00 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of Borac Banja Luka vs GOSK Gabela?

Borac Banja Luka 3-1 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borac Banja Luka vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borac Banja Luka win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Borac Banja Luka 61%, draw 24%, GOSK Gabela 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borac Banja Luka), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
4 May 2024
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