Sloga Doboj 0-1 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sloga Doboj EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.82/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.15
-23% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sloga Doboj
3W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
30.07.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-2 HT 1-1 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj BOSN
07.04.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj BOSN
14.10.2022 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
30.07.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-2 HT 0-1 Sloga Doboj Sloga Doboj BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sloga Doboj
0-1
AWAY FK Sarajevo
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sloga Doboj vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo edged past Sloga Doboj 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sloga Doboj had 48% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 52%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sloga Doboj had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sloga Doboj and 1.20 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Sloga Doboj vs FK Sarajevo?

Sloga Doboj 0-1 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sloga Doboj vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sloga Doboj 27%, draw 27%, FK Sarajevo 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
4 May 2024
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