Coritiba vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Coritiba
BRK
3-3
HT 2-1
Sport Recife
BRK
1-0
HT 1-0
Coritiba
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Coritiba
BR2
Coritiba 0-1 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife nicked a narrow win over Coritiba 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Sport Recife made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Coritiba had 51% of the ball to Sport Recife's 49%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 0.94 to 0.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Coritiba.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Coritiba and 1.17 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Sport Recife?
Coritiba 0-1 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 40%, draw 28%, Sport Recife 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coritiba) went the other way.