Paysandu 0-0 Avai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 May 2024

Paysandu
0-0 HT 0-0
Avai
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Paysandu vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.57
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paysandu v Avai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avai EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.46/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.07
-15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
26.2 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Paysandu vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Avai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.75 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
278 Passes 223
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.09.2018 Paysandu Paysandu 2-1 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
26.05.2018 Avai Avai 3-1 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
01.10.2016 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 2-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
15.06.2016 Paysandu Paysandu 1-0 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
19.10.2013 Paysandu Paysandu 0-2 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
03.08.2013 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 1-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2

Paysandu 0-0 Avai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
0-0
AWAY Avai
0.57 xG 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
269 Passes 321
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Avai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu and Avai played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Paysandu at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Paysandu had 48% of the ball to Avai's 52%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.57 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avai led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paysandu and 1.67 for Avai.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Avai?

Paysandu 0-0 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Avai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 44%, draw 30%, Avai 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paysandu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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