Mostaganem 1-0 WA Boufarik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.18
Draw
26%
5.71
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
80%
-23.3pp
26%
Draw
14%
+12.0pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+11.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+1.3pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY WA Boufarik EU Bookmakers 8%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.70/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
+25% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +52%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
441 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostaganem
1-0
AWAY WA Boufarik
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mostaganem vs WA Boufarik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostaganem nicked a narrow win over WA Boufarik 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mostaganem as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mostaganem had 64% of the ball to WA Boufarik's 36%, shots finished 17-4.

What was the final score of Mostaganem vs WA Boufarik?

Mostaganem 1-0 WA Boufarik in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostaganem vs WA Boufarik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mostaganem 57%, draw 26%, WA Boufarik 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mostaganem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mostaganem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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