USM El Harrach 1-1 CA Batna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.29
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
3.14
No
67%
1.31
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
73%
-7.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.3pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
33%
BTTS Yes
28%
+5.4pp
67%
BTTS No
72%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Batna EU Bookmakers 11%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.90/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.49
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
474 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM El Harrach
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CA Batna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.01.2024 CA Batna CA Batna 2-1 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYR2
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs CA Batna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach and CA Batna shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had USM El Harrach at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs CA Batna?

USM El Harrach 1-1 CA Batna in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs CA Batna?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 66%, draw 20%, CA Batna 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (USM El Harrach), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYR2 More Algeria - 2nd Division
4 May 2024
17:00 IB Khemis El Khechna vs HB Chelghoum Laid Analysis →
17:00 Mostaganem vs WA Boufarik Analysis →
17:00 Kolea vs ASM Oran Analysis →
17:00 MSP Batna vs Annaba Analysis →
17:00 SKAF Khemis Melina vs RC Arbaa Analysis →
17:00 Temouchent vs WA Mostaganem Analysis →