Skive IK 2-1 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.08/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.24
-29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fremad Amager
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Skive IK Skive IK 1-1 HT 1-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
24.09.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 4-1 HT 2-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
16.05.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
25.04.2021 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
14.02.2021 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 4-0 HT 2-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
26.09.2020 Skive IK Skive IK 0-2 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skive IK squeezed past Fremad Amager 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Skive IK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Skive IK and 2.17 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Fremad Amager?

Skive IK 2-1 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skive IK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 40%, draw 28%, Fremad Amager 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skive IK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skive IK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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