Skive IK 1-1 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skive IK EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
0.79/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.76
-54% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skive IK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fremad Amager
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 4-1 HT 2-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
16.05.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
25.04.2021 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-0 HT 1-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
14.02.2021 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 4-0 HT 2-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
26.09.2020 Skive IK Skive IK 0-2 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
20.06.2020 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-0 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN1
POST-MATCH Skive IK vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skive IK and Fremad Amager shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Skive IK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Skive IK and 2.00 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Skive IK vs Fremad Amager?

Skive IK 1-1 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skive IK vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skive IK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Skive IK 43%, draw 23%, Fremad Amager 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Skive IK) ✗ BTTS No
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