Roskilde 3-1 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.38/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.27
+0% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Middelfart
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 0-1 HT 0-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
3-1
AWAY Middelfart
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde beat Middelfart 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roskilde as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roskilde had 52% of the ball to Middelfart's 48%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Middelfart?

Roskilde 3-1 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roskilde win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 41%, draw 28%, Middelfart 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roskilde) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roskilde) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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