Aarhus Fremad 1-0 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
67%
-18.3pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.9pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.5pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.28/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.59
+17% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Thisted
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Thisted Thisted 1-3 HT 1-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
10.06.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
22.04.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-1 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
05.11.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 5-0 HT 2-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
07.08.2022 Thisted Thisted 0-4 HT 0-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
14.11.2021 Thisted Thisted 2-1 HT 1-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarhus Fremad
1-0
AWAY Thisted
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad edged past Thisted 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aarhus Fremad had 69% of the ball to Thisted's 31%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarhus Fremad had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 0.67 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted?

Aarhus Fremad 1-0 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 48%, draw 29%, Thisted 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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