Auxerre 2-0 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.74
No
52%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.43
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.46
6+
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.43 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.42
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.18
X/2
9%
8.29
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1
12%
23.6
2/2
10%
6.27
2/X
6%
14.6
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC The Market 27%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.49/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.16
+15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.8 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paris FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.12
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
441 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
01.02.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 1-2 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
16.08.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
13.03.2021 Auxerre Auxerre 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
21.11.2020 Paris FC Paris FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
22.11.2019 Paris FC Paris FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
2-0
AWAY Paris FC
1.32 xG 0.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
342 Passes 485
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Auxerre vs Paris FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Auxerre had too much for Paris FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auxerre as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.74, about 57%.

Under the surface, Paris FC saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Auxerre against 0.83 for Paris FC.

Auxerre vs Paris FC Result & Final Score

Auxerre 2-0 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Auxerre vs Paris FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 47%, draw 26%, Paris FC 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auxerre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
4 May 2024
20:00 Guingamp vs Saint-Etienne Analysis →