Guingamp 2-2 Saint-Etienne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.91
Over
45%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.67
No
52%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.46
2-3
42%
1.79
4-5
17%
3.44
6+
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.46 — our 32% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.13
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
10%
6.08
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
13%
4.63
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
22%
3.33
2/X
7%
12.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Etienne The Market 43%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.36/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.39
+36% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.8 Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Saint-Etienne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 1.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
277 Passes 408
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 1-3 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
06.05.2023 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 3-2 HT 1-2 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
17.09.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR2
12.01.2019 Guingamp Guingamp 0-1 HT 0-1 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
11.08.2018 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-1 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
18.03.2018 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 2-0 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
2-2
AWAY Saint-Etienne
2.13 xG 1.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
331 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Guingamp vs Saint-Etienne
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Guingamp and Saint-Etienne shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Guingamp had 52% of the ball to Saint-Etienne's 48%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.13 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saint-Etienne led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guingamp and 1.67 for Saint-Etienne.

Guingamp vs Saint-Etienne Result & Final Score

Guingamp 2-2 Saint-Etienne in the France - Ligue 2 on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Guingamp vs Saint-Etienne Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 32%, draw 28%, Saint-Etienne 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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