FC Seoul 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
12%
16.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.82 — our 24% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.99
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
13%
6.71
X/2
14%
4.63
X/X
13%
4.43
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.97
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.02
+0% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.8 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.58 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
391 Passes 474
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
14.05.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
12.03.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
02.08.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
22.06.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-2 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
11.03.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
0-1
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 541
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai squeezed past FC Seoul 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Hyundai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 38% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 62%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Seoul and 2.00 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai?

FC Seoul 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 34%, draw 28%, Ulsan Hyundai 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ BTTS Yes
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