Pohang Steelers 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 4 May 2024

Pohang Steelers
1-0 HT 0-0
Jeonbuk Motors
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.25
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
21%
5.18
X/2
8%
6.31
X/X
11%
4.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
26.5
2/2
11%
4.31
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 12% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
41%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pohang Steelers v Jeonbuk Motors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.49/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.47
+0% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.6 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
379 Passes 282
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.02.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors AŞMP
14.02.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers AŞMP
04.11.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 4-2 HT 1-1 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
28.10.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-1 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
21.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-1 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
29.05.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK

Pohang Steelers 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-0
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
52% Ball Possession 48%
24 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
370 Passes 356
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers squeezed past Jeonbuk Motors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 52% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 48%, shots finished 24-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.17 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Pohang Steelers 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 48%, draw 25%, Jeonbuk Motors 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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