HNK Cibalia 4-2 Solin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Solin EU Bookmakers 32%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.33/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.00
+0% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Solin
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.11.2023 Solin Solin 0-3 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
4-2
AWAY Solin
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Solin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia got the better of Solin 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; HNK Cibalia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 52% of the ball to Solin's 48%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Solin?

HNK Cibalia 4-2 Solin in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Solin?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 36%, draw 28%, Solin 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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