Sibenik 2-0 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
12%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
79%
-8.6pp
18%
Draw
15%
+2.2pp
12%
Away Win
5%
+6.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 8%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.44/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.01
-7% / +124% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +79%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
501 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jarun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.03.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 2-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
2-0
AWAY Jarun
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik got the better of Jarun 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sibenik as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Sibenik had 58% of the ball to Jarun's 42%, shots finished 21-6.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Jarun?

Sibenik 2-0 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sibenik win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 71%, draw 18%, Jarun 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sibenik), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sibenik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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