Sibenik 2-0 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 Mar 2024

Sibenik
2-0 HT 1-0
Jarun
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Croatia - 2.HNL – 2023/2024

Sibenik vs Jarun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.22
Draw
28%
5.28
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.67
No
48%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
78%
-21.1pp
28%
Draw
16%
+11.8pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
33%
+18.6pp
48%
BTTS No
67%
-18.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sibenik v Jarun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 8%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +82% / +82%
1.36/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / –
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik beat Jarun 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sibenik as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Jarun?

Sibenik 2-0 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sibenik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 57%, draw 28%, Jarun 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sibenik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sibenik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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