Orijent 1919 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.8pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.00/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-34% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +98% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Orijent 1919 vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orijent 1919 and Croatia Zmijavci shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Orijent 1919 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Orijent 1919 vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Orijent 1919 1-1 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orijent 1919 vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orijent 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Orijent 1919 45%, draw 30%, Croatia Zmijavci 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orijent 1919), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orijent 1919) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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