Katwijk vs Jong Sparta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Katwijk v Jong Sparta — Team-Based Signals
Katwijk vs Jong Sparta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Katwijk
HOLTW
2-1
HT 1-1
Jong Sparta
HOLTW
Katwijk 3-4 Jong Sparta — Actual Match Statistics
Jong Sparta edged past Katwijk 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Katwijk had 47% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 53%, shots finished 19-18.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Katwijk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Katwijk and 0.50 for Jong Sparta.
What was the final score of Katwijk vs Jong Sparta?
Katwijk 3-4 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Jong Sparta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 49%, draw 16%, Jong Sparta 35%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katwijk) went the other way.