Reading U21 2-0 Middlesbrough U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.32
No
39%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.7pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.05/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.65
-2% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 11.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading U21
2-0
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
2.10 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
238 Passes 223
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Reading U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading U21 beat Middlesbrough U21 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Reading U21 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reading U21 had 49% of the ball to Middlesbrough U21's 51%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.10 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Reading U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Reading U21 2-0 Middlesbrough U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Reading U21 49%, draw 24%, Middlesbrough U21 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Reading U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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