NK Brinje 2-1 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 17%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.41/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.31
-27% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Brinje
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Krka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2023 Krka Krka 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
12.11.2022 NK Brinje NK Brinje 1-3 HT 0-1 Krka Krka SLVN2
29.07.2022 Krka Krka 4-1 HT 2-0 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
POST-MATCH NK Brinje vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje edged past Krka 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NK Brinje as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Krka led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NK Brinje and 2.33 for Krka.

What was the final score of NK Brinje vs Krka?

NK Brinje 2-1 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Brinje vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split NK Brinje 58%, draw 20%, Krka 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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