Tabor Sezana 2-2 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
62%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
30%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.1pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 70%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.48/3.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.31
-41% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +144%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tabor Sezana
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gorica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2023 Gorica Gorica 1-1 HT 1-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN2
16.03.2023 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 0-1 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN
29.11.2022 Gorica Gorica 1-1 HT 0-1 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
10.09.2022 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-3 HT 1-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN
22.05.2021 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 0-1 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN
15.03.2021 Gorica Gorica 0-3 HT 0-0 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
POST-MATCH Tabor Sezana vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tabor Sezana and Gorica shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gorica at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tabor Sezana and 1.17 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Tabor Sezana vs Gorica?

Tabor Sezana 2-2 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tabor Sezana vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tabor Sezana 17%, draw 21%, Gorica 62%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gorica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
4 May 2024
18:00 NK Brinje vs Krka Analysis →