AS Slimane 0-1 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.38
Over 2.5
45%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
16%
7.01
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
69%
-14.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
31%
+14.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Slimane EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.73/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.03
+46% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Slimane
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ben Guerdane
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-0 HT 0-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN
26.11.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-1 HT 2-1 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1A
16.09.2023 AS Slimane AS Slimane 0-1 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1A
08.02.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-2 HT 0-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1B
09.11.2022 AS Slimane AS Slimane 1-0 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1B
30.05.2021 AS Slimane AS Slimane 1-1 HT 0-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TNUSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Slimane
0-1
AWAY Ben Guerdane
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AS Slimane vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ben Guerdane squeezed past AS Slimane 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Ben Guerdane made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, AS Slimane had 69% of the ball to Ben Guerdane's 31%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ben Guerdane led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AS Slimane and 1.17 for Ben Guerdane.

What was the final score of AS Slimane vs Ben Guerdane?

AS Slimane 0-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Slimane vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Slimane win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AS Slimane 39%, draw 26%, Ben Guerdane 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AS Slimane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Slimane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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