Ben Guerdane 1-0 AS Slimane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
6.41
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.4pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Slimane EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AS Slimane
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-1 HT 2-1 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1A
16.09.2023 AS Slimane AS Slimane 0-1 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1A
08.02.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-2 HT 0-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1B
09.11.2022 AS Slimane AS Slimane 1-0 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1B
30.05.2021 AS Slimane AS Slimane 1-1 HT 0-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TNUSK
02.03.2021 AS Slimane AS Slimane 2-2 HT 1-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ben Guerdane
1-0
AWAY AS Slimane
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs AS Slimane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ben Guerdane nicked a narrow win over AS Slimane 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ben Guerdane as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ben Guerdane had 44% of the ball to AS Slimane's 56%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ben Guerdane had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ben Guerdane and 1.17 for AS Slimane.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs AS Slimane?

Ben Guerdane 1-0 AS Slimane in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs AS Slimane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ben Guerdane win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 51%, draw 30%, AS Slimane 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ben Guerdane), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ben Guerdane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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